New Extremes in Polycrises: From Heatwaves to Water Resilience

 Insights from EURESFO 2025

As we prepare for the 13th edition of the European Urban Resilience Forum in Guimarães we explore key topics emerging in the sessions, workshops and informal discussions that emerged during EURESFO 2025. This article delves into a key thread shaping the discussions of the forum in Rotterdam, how to plan for heat and water under polycrisis conditions, and points to what this could mean for the “going beyond” agenda at the upcoming EURESFO 2026 in Guimarães.

EURESFO 2025 took place in Rotterdam from 25-27 June 2025, bringing together city and regional leaders, practitioners, researchers and EU-level actors to exchange on how to accelerate resilience action in the face of compounding risks. Across three days, the programme combined opening plenaries and parallel sessions with hands-on formats such as mobile workshops around the city and an interactive Marketplace showcasing tools, project pitches and decision-support approaches. The European Urban Resilience Forum is deliberately designed to be open, practical and discussion-driven.

 Polycrisis is becoming the operating system

Speakers repeatedly returned to the same uncomfortable truth: No city is risk-free anymore. Climate hazards increasingly collide with political, social, and infrastructure pressures, creating compound impacts that can overwhelm hazard-by-hazard planning. Several cities stressed that this underlines a shift in what resilience must be capable of: It’s not only about managing emergencies, but about continuously adapting systems while inequalities and vulnerabilities are already present. A recurring implication was the need for cross-sector coordination across vital systems because cascading failures often travel through interdependencies between energy, water, transport, waste, health and data, rather than through just a single department. The Regional Resilience Journey (RRJ), developed within the Pathways2Resilience project, was referenced as a useful framing: Systemic resilience requires looking beyond climate hazards alone and planning for multiple stressors through a long-

term, integrated regional approach that prepares for compounding and cascading risks. Barcelona’s perspective captured this bluntly: Resilience planning has to assume a constant state of overlapping pressures as cities are “always in a polycrisis”. London made a similar point from the operational side: Cities can’t pause crisis response to design “the perfect” long-term resilience plan - both must happen at the same time and the long-term plan must be shaped by what response systems learn under stress. London also pointed to concrete structures that help bridge this gap in practice, including the London Resilience Partnership and the London Communities Emergencies Partnership, which connect public authorities with emergency planners and community/voluntary actors to strengthen preparedness and response while keeping a longer-term resilience and equity lens in view. 

Two frontlines: Heat and Water

Heat came through as a governance and public-health challenge as much as an urban design challenge. Participants noted that vulnerable groups - especially children and older people - often don’t perceive themselves as at risk, despite being among the most affected. Better risk communication and targeted outreach were flagged as essential to turn warning systems into behavioural change and protection. More broadly, stronger approaches treat heat explicitly as a public health risk with clear responsibility, dedicated staffing and sustained outreach.

Cooling centres were discussed as an important safety net, but several voices stressed the implementation gap: cooling a room does not cool a neighbourhood. The broader objective is reducing exposure both indoors and outdoors, through urban form, shading, surface and material choices, greening, operational measures, and social outreach so that heat adaptation doesn’t collapse into “find air conditioning.” Initiatives such as the Covenant of Mayors’ Cities REFRESH campaign were highlighted as a practical way to mainstream these measures by helping cities share actions and accelerate uptake beyond individual projects. In parallel, the European Heat Adaptation Community, launched on Heat Action Day 2025, was referenced as a growing

professional space to connect municipalities, public health actors and researchers around applied heat governance, capacity building and peer learning. Water resilience surfaced with equal force, with a clear shift in mindset: Resilience in Europe today ranges from controlling water to managing uncertainty and living with floods. Discussions highlighted the need to combine prevention and mitigation with preparedness, rapid recovery capacity, and support for affected communities, including psychological and financial support that is often missing from technical flood management debates. Examples ranged from approaches that adapt the built environment to changing flood dynamics, including floating or amphibious concepts in Rotterdam, to risk intelligence tools such as digital twins in Reggio Emilia that help the city anticipate hydrological stress and plan accordingly. 

At the EU level, participants pointed to the logic behind the emerging “blue lens” across portfolios: Water resilience is not a standalone topic for water departments. It needs to be embedded beyond - in housing, energy, land use, nature, and economic strategies - and treated as a foundational driver of resilience choices. 

Learning from outermost regions

Sessions on outermost regions made the polycrises dynamic concrete. Speakers described overlapping climate risks: Coastal erosion, biodiversity loss and water stress alongside public health and infrastructure pressures. The recurring message: Support needs to be cross-sectoral, grounded in local realities, and flexible enough to work where baseline conditions are already strained. REGILIENCE’s policy brief reinforces this, framing EU outermost regions as highly vulnerable but also pioneering “living labs” whose adaptation solutions can be highly transferable to continental

Europe, if EU programmes are designed to enable integrated cross-sectoral approaches, prioritize localized data collection, and promote regional cooperation. Examples from the Agroecology-TRANSECT project and its Innovation Hub in Guadeloupe highlighted experimental community-grounded adaptation in agriculture, including agroecological models that combine traditional knowledge with practical measures such as rainwater harvesting and locally adapted farming approaches for water-scarce conditions. 

Nature-based Solutions as a polycrisis tool

Across the forum, nature-based solutions (NbS) repeatedly came up as one of the most practical ways to respond to new extremes while tackling co-benefits that matter in a polycrisis: Cooling, water management, biodiversity, health, and liveability. The point made in multiple sessions was to use NbS as a systems lever as they cut across sectors and are therefore well suited to the cascading, interdependent risks cities are now facing.

Several examples illustrated a much needed shift from policy to action. Rotterdam’s WeerWoord programme and related measures such as green roofs and water squares were discussed as citywide approaches that integrate adaptation across policies and combine stormwater

management with cooling and public-space benefits. With projects like NBS EduWORLD, Belgrade showcases how NbS can be scaled through education: primary schools were supported to co-create small, low-cost green interventions, combining student-led design with hands-on activities such as biodiversity games and urban nature monitoring while also building local ownership of nature-based solutions. The Polish NbS Hub in Wrocław and its governance-oriented route to mainstreaming NbS is mapping and aligning a large number of municipal strategies and policies linked to NbS, helping embed them into planning and investment decisions rather than keeping them project-by-project.

What this opens up for the upcoming EURESFO 2026

EURESFO 2025 in Rotterdam made clear that polycrises are no longer a scenario but a design condition. The task now is to move from a fragmented view of multiple crises to a systems perspective that can handle cascading and compounding risks within polycrises. This is also where EU policy is moving, with the European Commission preparing an integrated framework for European climate resilience and risk management and a stronger push to connect initiatives such as the EU Missions (e.g., Adaptation, Cities, Ocean & Waters, Soil) so cross-

sectoral delivery becomes easier rather than more fragmented.

For EURESFO 2026’s “going beyond” theme in Guimarães, the next step is operationalising this reality by shifting from hazard-specific adaptation to systems resilience, focusing on how cities run emergency response and transformation in parallel, translate heat and water resilience into delivery-ready portfolios, and ensure that regions and municipalities can implement - not just plan - under continuous stress.